How to prevent another financial crisis on Wall Street: Predicting the riskiness of real estate loans

نویسندگان

  • Katelyn Gao
  • Susanne Halstead
چکیده

The goal of our project was to predict the average spread of a loan given its other features and analyze which features have greater effects on its riskiness. In addition, given aggregate data on the number of defaults by property type, we examined whether those property types with higher default rates also had higher average spreads. The hope is that we will be able to predict the riskiness and default likelihood of a loan using only its features, and gain insight into business practices and market conditions.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

How To Prevent Another Financial Crisis On Wall Street

Riskiness of a particular loan can be estimated based on several of its economic indicators. Although the actual relationship is very complicated, it is possible to construct a simplified model which can roughly classify a loan into one of the three categories high risk loan, medium risk loan and low risk loan based on certain criteria. This paper seeks to build such a model based on publicly a...

متن کامل

How International Financial Crisis Affects Industries in Beijing, Capital City of China

 Beijing’s industrial structure is service-oriented with a high degree of economic openness, and GDP has maintained rapid growth. This paper analyzes the international financial crisis and the impact of China’s anti-crisis policies on Beijing’s economic development as well as its transmission mechanism. Impact Index (excluding seasonal factors) and ARMA Model are employed in the empirical...

متن کامل

The financial crisis in an operational risk management context - A review of causes and influencing factors

Global macroeconomic imbalance combined with deregulation of US banks and increasing US real estate prices formed the basis for aggressive growth in worldwide trading of so called Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO), i.e. similar loans pooled to create a financial derivative that can be bought or sold. The CDOs consisted mainly of prime and subprime housing loans, where the latter type is cha...

متن کامل

Regime Shifts in Asian Equity and Real Estate Markets

The recent Asian financial crisis has emphasized the volatility of modern financial markets. This crisis, and other recent financial shocks, suggest that returns may switch regimes: that is, randomly change from one distribution to another. This paper analyzes regime shifts in real estate and equity markets in ten Far Eastern countries, focusing on the period 1994 1998. We find little evidence ...

متن کامل

Korean Real Estate Market Mechanisms and Deregulation of Mortgage Loans: Qualitative Analysis

The Korean real estate market is currently experiencing a slowdown due to the global economic crisis which has resulted from subprime mortgage lending practices. In response, the Korean government has enforced various policies, based on intend to deregulate real estate speculation, such as increasing the Loan to value ratio (LTV) in order to stimulate housing supply, demand and accompanying hou...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2013